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Binary, Multinomial, and Ordinal Logistic Regression and their applications in biological sciences

binary, multinomial, and ordinal logistic regression
binary, multinomial, and ordinal logistic regression

1. Binary Logistic Regression

Definition:

  • Predicts a binary outcome (two categories).
  • Example: Disease (Yes = 1, No = 0).

Equation:

Binary Logistic Regression
where 𝑝 is the probability of the outcome occurring.

Biological Example:

  • Disease prediction (sick or healthy).
  • Gene expression (expressed or not expressed).
  • Treatment response (responsive or non-responsive).

Use Case:

  • Understanding risk factors for diseases.
  • Predicting mortality (survived or died) in clinical trials.

2. Multinomial Logistic Regression

Definition:

Predicts an outcome with three or more categories that are not ordered.
Example: Blood type (A, B, AB, O).

Equation:

Multinomial Logistic Regression

for 𝐾 categories.

Biological Example:

  • Disease type classification (Type I, Type II, or Type III).
  • Cell differentiation stages (Progenitor, Differentiated, Specialized).
  • Infection strain types (Bacterial, Viral, Fungal).

Use Case:

  • Classifying patients into different disease subtypes.
  • Identifying the stage of cancer progression.

3. Ordinal Logistic Regression

Definition:

  • Predicts an outcome with three or more categories that are ordered.
  • Example: Pain level (Mild, Moderate, Severe).

Equation:

Ordinal Logistic Regression

where 𝑗 is the threshold for ordered levels.

Biological Example:

  • Severity of disease (No, Mild, Severe).
  • Tumor grading (Grade I, II, III).
  • Drug side effect intensity (None, Mild, Severe).

Use Case:

  • Predicting progression stages of a disease.
  • Assessing levels of pain in patients during clinical trials.
Key Differences and Applications

Choosing the Right Model:

Binary Logistic Regression:

  • For simple yes/no outcomes.
  • Example: Presence or absence of cancer.

Multinomial Logistic Regression:

  • For categorical outcomes with no inherent order.
  • Example: Different viral strains in patients.

Ordinal Logistic Regression:

  • For ranked outcomes with meaningful order.
  • Example: Stages of fibrosis or inflammation.

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